Conspiracy theorists unite!

Discussion in 'Credit Talk' started by anbro, Jul 27, 2004.

  1. anbro

    anbro Well-Known Member

    I've spent a lot of thought on the subject of credit scores. Since I turned 18, I have had credit in some forms or others, and although I've made mistakes along the line, I have never, EVER, had a good FICO score. In fact, I've never been above 650, though I've flirted with it before on my transunion report.

    Now, I've been wondering about this. I've asked myself "what am I doing wrong?". At this point, I've not made a late payment in over a year and a half. I've only got one 30 day late payment in the past 2 years. Ironically, it's because a magazine renewed on one of my credit cards that had a zero balance and I didn't bother opening the statement. I have a few late payments before that... but before the whole job loss thing when I made those late payments, I had never made a late payment for about 2-3 years and I was in the same boat I am now.

    I realize the 'official reasons' for why I have a low score. Yeah, right now I have high utilization on my credit cards. I didn't a month ago though (I just moved, haven't paid them back to zero yet), and that only gave me about 30 points.

    Yeah, I don't have a 'long history'. Only about 6 years now, I believe I read that the average length of history is 7 years or something?

    I've always made sure my bills are paid. No one that I agreed to pay money to lost any of it - though when I lost my job a few years ago, they did get it late. Now I pay my bills on time and everything and I can't even get into some apartments without a ridiculous deposit. I make good money working as a software engineer but I can't even go buy a $20k car while people I know who make $30k a year go out and get financed for brand new $35k cars. I could get a 47% discount on my car insurance if I had a >800 FICO, but instead I get a 5% discount because my credit sucks.

    Then it hit me. Both my wife and I have this problem. Both of us have parents who filed for bankruptcy and were otherwise rather irresponsible with their finances. Both of us have information that could be used to link us to them, and that's just the visible information. Previous addresses, in my case a joint account with my mother who cosigned on my first car, and one other link that I forgot while I was writing this. :p

    So I'm left with this thought: Is it possible that the CRAs also take into account things like who you live with, or who you are related to?

    Mind you - I could easily see the legit link between these things, since parents teach their kids how to handle money, or people who hang out often tend to assume the habits of those they hang out with.

    Obviously I can't prove it, and I'm not even claiming it's true. It's just an interesting thought.

    I really wish they would open the scoring process to scrutiny.

    Discuss.
     
  2. pd11604

    pd11604 Well-Known Member

    From William Shakespeare's The Merchant of Venice

    "Yes, truly; for, look you, the sins of the father are to be laid upon the children;"
     
  3. anbro

    anbro Well-Known Member

    LOL, That line was going through my head the entire time I was writing the original post.
     
  4. lbrown59

    lbrown59 Well-Known Member

    You can't do that with a con job.
    The minute you do that with a shell game the jig's up.

    The fact that they won't open it to scrutiny is one of the proofs it's a con job.
     
  5. pd11604

    pd11604 Well-Known Member

    Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!

    Sometimes all you can do in such situations is laugh

    Seriously, only a few years ago I had state tax problems, defaulted student loans, and charged off cc's.

    Today my SL is rehabilitated, my liens are paid off, and I was just approved for an AMEX BLUE CASH card with $5000 limit.

    My scores are all between 725-745
    not too long ago they were in the 570's...

    all my success is due to and my thanks to the people on this board who helped me.
     
  6. anbro

    anbro Well-Known Member

    Re: Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!

    Perhaps soon I'll be in the same boat.

    On another note, I just found this press release from Fair Isaac dated today: http://www.fairisaac.com/NR/exeres/A5C1215B-F04D-49C4-9E68-CC7A7006600E,frameless.htm

    I wonder what these 'non traditional' sources of data are?

    Unless they have a crystal ball, they have more sources and more information than they are disclosing. Period.

    <insert tinfoil hat comment here>
     
  7. anbro

    anbro Well-Known Member

    Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!

    I suspect that the score is fairly accurate, though I'd say it's not fair in my case, but I bet the reason they refuse to make it public is because it would enrage people to find out that liking certain kinds of cars makes you a bigger credit risk, or having parents that suck at finances makes you a bigger credit risk, or whatever else.

    They are walking a fine line between offering 'fair' results and the fact that life isn't fair.
     
  8. zerodown

    zerodown Well-Known Member

    Not to change the subject, but what auto insurance gives these discounts. I'm not 800 but it might be worth checking out. :) Thanks.

    0
     
  9. anbro

    anbro Well-Known Member

    Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!

    Pemco does, but they only operate in Washington State, I believe. You also need a clean driving record for >3 years.

    God, I'd love to be in the >800 range right now - I pay like $1400/yr for my insurance (I used to pay $5k/yr for insurance because of some youthful indiscretions), but I'd be paying like 790/yr with that kind of discount. Mind you, for two people and two cars.
     
  10. lbrown59

    lbrown59 Well-Known Member

    Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!

    I pay 500 a year for 5 trucks and 2 drivers,
     
  11. parithed86

    parithed86 Active Member

    Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!

    In Michigan, not only auto insurance but homeowners insurance is now based on your credit score.
    We went from paying $900 per year for homeowners insurance on a $200k house to suddenly having to pay $3200!!!!!!!!
    Same deal with auto insurance.
    We have filed one $300 claim in the last 15 years.
     
  12. soup

    soup Well-Known Member

    Re: Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!

    That is INSANE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! NJ has supposedly the highest rates in the country and I only pay about $600 a year homeowners....$2400 for 2 new cars.....
     
  13. lbrown59

    lbrown59 Well-Known Member

  14. lbrown59

    lbrown59 Well-Known Member

    Re: Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!

    Here is how Fico works:
    A bag of marbles represents the consumer.
    CRA 1 shows 25 red marbles in the bag.
    CRA 2 reports 25 blue marbles in the sack
    CRA 3 Says 25 Green marbles in the bag.
    FICO analyzes the information from all three of the CRAS and assigns a score of 75 to the sack made up of 25 each of red blue and green marbles.
    Upon opening the sack we find it contains 100 black
    marbles.
    Why was Fico unable to assign the correct score?
    I have asked this question several times on other boards, but no one has answered it correctly.
    Would anyone here like to take a stab at it?
     
  15. anbro

    anbro Well-Known Member

    Re: Re: Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!

    While I sympathize with the creator of that site, I don't trust it very much, as he makes a lot of claims without backing them up, and I can find several logical fallacies without even trying hard.

    I suppose it goes well in this thread though, since I did the same thing.
     
  16. lbrown59

    lbrown59 Well-Known Member

    Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!

    I can find several logical fallacies without even trying hard.
    ======================
    You Can!
    Please give me a few examples to illustrate what you're talking about.
     
  17. anbro

    anbro Well-Known Member

    Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!


    Bolded. He implies that this is a factor. I have yet to see any evidence that this is involved at all - though admittedly I wouldn't be surprised at all.

    Again, bolded. Yes, he's right that you cannot predict with 100% certainty what an individual will do, but based on the actions of people similiar to them, you can predict with a high probability their risk factor. This is what a credit score does. Is it fair? Perhaps not. But regardless, the basic idea is sound.

    This entire section is baseless. Unless someone here knows Bill Gates' FICO scores, then you can't claim that he has a low score anyway. Furthermore, I highly doubt he has no debt - but I'd be willing to bet he isn't getting into debt on stupid things like a lot of folks do.

    He claims they are aggressively collecting information about me from my internet usage. I'd love to see proof that Experian has access to comcast logs of internet usage - if they do, then I'll be screaming just as loud as he is, but till then I refuse to wear this tinfoil hat.

    While I dislike the CRAs as much as the next guy, this really isn't true. They compile a score based on their risk assessment, and provide it to the company inquiring. The company has their cutoff point, and if it falls under that, then you don't get approved. Nothing is stopping you from asking them to reconsider, and nothing is stopping these companies from ignoring the score and simply looking at the credit report itself.

    Although the credit companies make this possible, the companies that you do business with are just as responsible as the CRAs in this respect. If you don't like it, find a business that doesn't do that.


    I could go on but I have other things to do.

    I hope you realize that I really do sympathize with what he's saying, but when I look at it as objectively as I can, I really think he's kind of far out there.
     
  18. Hedwig

    Hedwig Well-Known Member

    anbro, I agree with you. Everyone wants to scream that the sky is falling, when it really isn't. Anyone who has ever worked in risk analysis knows that it's just that--a RISK based on STATISTICS of a population. That doesn't mean that every person with a chargeoff will have another, but the PROBABILITY of having a chargeoff is higher if you've had one than if you haven't.

    You might go in and just dispute off all of your old addresses--just say you haven't lived there or something. It's a pretty easy removal in most cases. See if that impacts your score. Make sure none of your parent's accounts are reported on your report. That's at least a good start.
     
  19. anbro

    anbro Well-Known Member

    Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!

    Well said. I agree wholeheartedly.

    I actually gave that a try yesterday. I was able to get a bunch of addresses removed (There were like 15 on my credit file) but they refused to remove my parents address because Wells Fargo is reporting it on an old tradeline.

    So, I've written a letter to Wells Fargo asking them to update their information and update to my credit report so I can get rid of that for protection against identity theft.

    We'll see where that goes. That wells fargo account is both my oldest tradeline and also the one account that I cosigned on for my mother. So I don't want to get rid of it but I can't help but wonder if the fact that I cosigned for her makes my score lower.

    I guess we'll see.
     
  20. Hedwig

    Hedwig Well-Known Member

    Re: Re: Conspiracy theorists unite!

    It SHOULD only make your score lower if there is derogatory information.

    Is it a credit card or an installment loan?
     

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